The Global Warming Sceptic

The Global Warming Sceptic (2010 & 2009)
http://meteo.lcd.lu/globalwarming/index.html
version 2.2 14 Feb 2009

Please take a step back, and stay cool for a moment. Shut your ears off from the deafening cries and shouts of the global warming advocates, and sharpen your mind. Try to answer the questions outlined in the papers given hereafter, and be open for good reasoning: these pages might make you think again, and wonder, if the mobiles of all these climate catastrophers are pure ....

Working for clean air and an unpolluted atmosphere is a laudable aim, but forgetting to compare the magnitude of man-made pollutants to the natural sources, or having an absolute faith in measurement data of often dubious origin, is unscientific at least, and foolish certainly. The climate is "the changing state of the atmosphere", so do not expect a steady state situation. Do not forget either that the sun is the engine which drives everything, and that the output of that engine is in constant change!

Previous pages: up to 2008 2009 -2010 2011 - 2012	Climategate	"Quotes"	Hockey-Stick discussions	last update:28Jun 2012
Cold times ahead?		Are we entering a repeat of the Dalton minimum? Read also here, here and here.
Uncertainty in the Global Surface Air Temperature Index		Patrick Frank shows global warming is buried in statistical noise and can not be known. Outstanding paper (published in E&E, full text here, courtesy www.multi-science.co.uk)
Burt Rutan on AGW		Burt Rutan, engineer extraordinaire and cofounder of The Spaceship Company has several excellent presentations on his views on Anthropogenic Global Warming (AGW). An absolute must read (PDF or PPT)
A case against precipitous climate action		New excellent article by Prof. Richard Lindzen (MIT): "...for more serious leaders, the need to courageously resist hysteria is clear". An absolute must read!
Biofuels drive up food prices		From the hauntingthelibrary blog.
Pfusch auf spanischen Sonnendächern		TAZ article (in German)
10.6 M$/day		That's how much do the USA do spend on Climate Change!
The x billion European Carbon fraud		Read Europol and comment.
Shale gas		Is it the energy source of the 21th century?
850 pier reviewded papers not supporting AGW		huge list with links from Popular Technology
The Decline Effect		Does the "decline of illusion" also show up in Climate Research?
The great HFC-23 scam:		Mindblowing! "The CDM has made destruction of HFC-23 so valuable that, at least for some manufacturers, it has become the product, not the by-product"(EurActiv). Also here and here.
Snowfalls are now just a thing of the past		CRU prediction in 2000: "Snowfalls are now just a thing of the past...Children just aren't going to know what snow is.." Trust them!
On the recovery from the Little Ice Age		By Prof. Akasofu in Science Research. Also this paper on recent energy balance by Knox & Douglass.
Do clouds cause a positive or negative feedback?		Lindzen and Spencer showed it being negative, Dessler has a new paper using the same data and concludes the feedback is probably slightly positive. Read also Spencer's and Dessler's comments on this most important parameter.
The songs of the Minnesotans for Global Warming (M4GW)		Xmas chuckle with the M4GW's (Minnesotans for Global Warming) songs: here, here, here and here (first to latest)
Renewables Won't Keep the Lights On		Article by John Constable in "Standpoint" magazine: "No one knows whether there is a green low-carbon economy waiting for us in the more distant future, but we can be confident that the current policies — the EU Renewables Directive, the Renewables Obligation, the Feed-In Tariff and the Green Deal — are most unlikely to deliver such an outcome. Indeed, they are probably counterproductive, since they insulate nascent technologies from competition and thus infantilise them."
Sea Level Could Rise in South, Fall in North		Sea level rise: not so simple! From Spiegel Online. Read slso here! Most recent graph.
The Chigaco Climate Exchange (CCX) closes down		Is this the end of the CO2 bubble? Also here. and absolutely must read here!
Hearing at the U.S. House of Representatives		"A Rational Discussion of Climate Change". Testimonies of Richard Lindzen, Patrick Michaels and Judith Curry. Entry page to all hearings is here.
Scientific American incovenient poll		Results of a poll the Scientific American made among its readers on the state of climate science. Probably SciAm regrets having launched this!
Recent Energy Balance of the Earth		New paper by Knox & Douglass on the evolution of the ocean heat content anomaly as measured by the Argos floats. Trend is slightly negative from 2003 to 2008.
Resignation letter to the APS		Physics professor Harold Lewis from University of California ( a student of Robert Oppenheimer) resigns from the American Physical Society after 67 years of membership, because he can not bear anymore the APS's official position on climate change: "...the global warming scam, with the (literally) trillions of dollars driving it, that has corrupted so many scientists, and has carried APS before it like a rogue wave. It is the greatest and most successful pseudoscientific fraud I have seen in my long life as a physicist". Strong words, more in his letter!
First do the research, then make deep carbon cuts		by Björn Lomborg (The Australian, 14Oct2010)
Le changement climatique		Report of the French Académie des Sciences (in French, with comments/highlights by F.Massen). Read also here (Vincent Courtillot's comment), here, here, here and here.
Let’s make the ‘human footprint’ even bigger		Remarkable speech by Brendan O'Neill, editor of spiked, on environmentalism and human footprint.
Climate Change, a summary of the science		Report by the Royal Society has released it's updated report ". While still very pro-warming, the tone is much more sober and uncertainties more outspoken. Read the full report, not just the summary. Also this critique here and here.
No pressure		Climate skeptics, be prepared! Watch the famous video of the exploding kids from the activist 10:10 organization: How to cut carbon emissions (also titled: No Pressure). Attention: this video is not for the faint of heart!
Sauberer Strom schwachprozentig ?		Short article (in German) in the daily newspaper "Luxemburger Wort" on the capacity factor (load factor) of renewable energy suppliers in the region of Trier (Germany)
Climate Change Assessments		Full IAC (InterAcademy Council) report on the IPCC here. Executive Summary here (jump to page 13 of the pdf file). Read Christopher Booker's comment here.
Wind falters while Nuclear surges		Excellent article by D.L. Hoffman with many links to others (like the IEEE article: After soaring, wind glides). Read also the very complete and damning 3 part article on wind energy by Kent Hawkins: Wind is not power at all. (link to part 3, contains links to part 1 and 2). For the moment, the best comment in this ongoing debate seems to be given in the last lines of the IEEE article: "All this is just a reminder that while wind is going to be a big part of the answer to future green energy needs, it will not be the whole answer" (personally I would omit the qualifier "big"). Read also this WSJ article by R. Bryce: Wind power won't cool down the planet.
The attribution of the present-day total green-house effect		Interesting new paper from Gavin Schmidt et al. on the respective influence of water vapour, clouds and CO2 on the current greenhouse effect. Their modeling suggests that "given the uncertainties, ... water vapour is responsible for just over half, clouds around a quarter and CO2 about a fifth of the present-day total greenhouse effect" (link to draft)
The Climategate Inquiries		Report by Andrew Montford (GWPF) on the inquiries around the climategate scandal. Foreword by Lord Turnbull. "We have to take a self-critical view of what happened. Nothing ought to be swept under the carpet. Some of the inquiries - like in the UK - did exactly the latter." Hans von Storch
Climate policy and Corporate Behaviour		Very interesting paper by Commins et al. on the influence of climate policy (=energy taxes) on EU corporate behavior: "On the whole, energy taxes increased total factor productivity and returns to capital but decreased employment...While energy taxes create jobs, more jobs are destroyed... for the EU ETS the effect on productivity and profits are negative, while the effect on labour and investment are insignificant". Aviation seems to be the big overall loser.
Global Convergence in the Temperature Sensitivity of Respiration at Ecosystem Level		A new paper by Mahecha et al. on the temperature sensitivity of plant CO2 outgassing: it is practically independent from temperature (another nail in the alarmist coffin)! (also here and here)
What the Earth knows		Extraordinary article of Stanford professor Robert B. Laughlin, physics nobelist 1998.
Estimation of climate sensitivity based on top-of-atmosphere radiation imbalance		A new paper on climate sensitivity by Lin et al. Read also Prof. Pielke's comment on this paper.
Profits of Doom		Very interesting article in the Times Higher Education (29 Jul 2010)
Climate change: a collective flight from reality.		Washington Times comment by Roger Helmer (08Jul10)
Interview with former physics profesor Denis Rancourt (Uni. Ottawa)		"Global warming is strictly an imaginary problem of the First World middleclass... it is as much a psychological and social phenomenon as anything else." (youtube)
Rückkehr zur rationalen Energiepolitik:		Energie Streitgespräch der Wirtschaftswoche mit Claudia Kemfert (DIW) und Manuel Frondel (RWI)
Empirical evidence for a celestial origin of the climate oscillations and its implications		New important paper of Dr. N. Scafetta: "The partial forecast indicates that climate may stabilize or cool until 2030-2040...The significant warming of the Earth predicted by the IPCC [2007] and by other AGWT advocates to occur in the following decades is unlikely. In fact, the above findings clearly suggests that the IPCC has used climate models that greatly overestimate the climate sensitivity to anthropogenic GHG increases. Therefore, the IPCC’s projections for the 21st century are not credible."
Global Warming Advocacy Science: a Cross Examination		Very interesting new research paper (80 pages) by J.S.Johnston from UPenn.
Testimony		of Prof. Christy at the IAC in Montreal (Jun2010)
Neuer Anlauf in der Klimapolitik		Absolutely must see video from German ZDF. (BMF report here)
History Lesson on oil independance		Something to chuckle!
Predictions Of Global Mean Temperatures & IPCC Projections		by Girma Orssengo, B. Tech, MASc, PhD
Take back climate science		Intertview with Dr. Willie Soon from Havard University
Prof. Henk Tennekes, first Dutch CO2 exile
Potential climatic impacts of large-scale wind farms:		Interesting paper by Wang & Prinn, MIT
Climate Gate and the Crisis of Climate Alarmism		Editorial by Prof. R. Lindzen, WSJ.
Massive solar fraud of 2.6 million Euro		Between November 2009 and January 2010 about 4500 MWh of electricity were pumped by "solar sources" into the Spanish grid from midnight to 7 a.m. Also here.
The problem of the missing heat		Read here, here, here and here.
4th International Conference on Climate Change		All major videos.
The Hartwell Paper		"Climate policy, as it has been understood and practised by many governments of the world under the Kyoto Protocol approach, has failed to produce any discernable real world reductions in emissions of greenhouse gases in fifteen years. The underlying reason for this is that the UNFCCC/Kyoto model was structurally flawed and doomed to fail because it systematically misunderstood the nature of climate change as a policy issue between 1985 and 2009"
Most of the observed warming since mid-20th century likely not from human GHG?		From World Climate Report (Pat Michaels)
In Denial: The Meltdown of the Climate Campaign.		Large article in the Weekly Standard .by Stephen F. Hayward, 15Mar2010
The Global Warming Winners		There are big profits in climate hysteria. Editorail from the Washington Times, 03Mar2010.
The Peculiar Issue of Global Warming		Presentation of Prof. R. Lindzen at Fermilab (10Feb2010, Realplayer needed)
Presentations of the 2nd International Conference on Climate in Berlin.		04Dec09: Singer, Svensmark, Motl, Monckton and many more.(in German)
Backup energy requirements		of windpower.(see also this PhD thesis)
Copenhagen and the demise of green utopia		By Benny Peiser:
Climate Change and its Causes		This booklet of Dr. N. Scafetta from Duke University is certainly one of the best resuming most recent knowledge on climate change and its causes. The IPCC AGW hypothesis plays down natural causes and variability and clearly exaggerates human influence.
Polynomial Cointegration Tests of the Anthropogenic Theory of Glopbal Warming		New paper by Beenstock et al (in Nature): "a doubling of greenhouse gas forcings does not permanently increase global temperature". Also here!
Global Warming: the Collapse of a Grand Narrative		Excellent comment by Prof. Philip Stott (see also this article in the Indian OPEN magazine)
Why hasn't Earth warmed as much as expected?		Very important new paper by Schwartz et al. (link to discussion in ScienceDaily, full text paywalled)
The Crumbling Pillars of Climate Change		by D. Hoffman. From the blog "The Resilient Earth"
Copenhagen and the demise of green utopia		by Dr. Benny Peiser. From GWPF.
Global Warming: the other side.		A 5 parts TV emission by weatherman J. Colemann on AGW and showing the data manipulation of the NCDC.
Cosmic-ray-driven electron-induced reactions of halogenated molecules adsorbed on ice surfaces: Implications for atmospheric ozone depletion and global climate change		Important paper by Qing-Bin Lu on the impact of cosmic rays and stratospheric chlorine: ongoing cooling predicted (also here): "...the data strongly indicate that global temperature has been dominantly controlled by the level of CFC's, modulated by the CR-driven ozone depletion over the last century. " Is CO2 not the villain anymore?
Correct timing is everything		Discussion of a paper from Prof. T. Segalstadt on the residence time of CO2 in the atmosphere.(see also this presentation)
BTW, there will still be glaciers in the Himalayas in 2035		How the IPCC 4AR goofed spectacularly on Himalayan glacier melt. Read also this paper from ETHZ: Swiss glaciers melt faster during the colder 1940s than today!
AGW revisited		James Randi, pseudo-science and paranormal debunker extraordinaire on AGW (Dec 2009)
Suddenly It's Cool Again To Be A Sceptical Philosopher		Philosopher M. Cohen in the The Times Higher Education (Dec 2009)
Resisting climate hysteria.		Crystal clear article by MIT Prof. R. Lindzen
Glitter-sized solar photovoltaics		A new development by a Sandia National Laboratories team of micro-solar cells, consuming 100 times less silicon and pointing to a potential revolution in photovoltaics.
Copenhagen Climate Concerns		A large set of small videos on many points of the climate debate. From www.co2science.org
The Smoking Gun at Darwin Zero		Excellent detective work of Antony Watts showing that the "adjustments" to the raw data transform a cooling trend to one of warming. The IPCC data of Australia are more the result of fabrication than measurements!
Windige Geschaefte mit heisser Luft		Excellent article by A. Baur (Die Weltwoche) on CO2 certificates and the working of the Swiss NGO "myclimate". In German. (hat tip: R. Turpel). See also here.
Why Greenland and Antarctic ice-sheets are not collapsing		Prof. C. Ollier in the News of the Australian Institute of Geoscientists. (see pages 20 to 24)
Open letter to the President of the Maledives		Are the Maledives drowning? No says Prof. Nils-Axel Moerner.
IPCC Crushes Scientific Objectivity		Commnet by Dr. Roy Spencer from UHA:
Scientific Shortcomings in the EPA’s Endangerment Finding from Greenhouse Gases		Very important, very clear article by P. Michaels et al. (Cato Institute)
Is Earth's Capacity to Absorb CO₂ Much Greater Than Expected?		Another bombshell in IPCC's garden: Airborne fraction of anthropogenic emitted CO2 constant since 1850. (from ScienceDaily). See also here and here.
Himalayen Glaciers		New inconvenient research report from India: GW is not the cause of melting Himalayan glaciers! Read also here.
Accurate estimation of CO₂ background level from near ground measurements at non-mixed environments (PDF)		New peer reviewed paper by F. Massen and E-G. Beck presented at the online Klima2009 conference. First in the top 10 of 103 published papers!
Statement of F. Massen for the Hearing on Climate Change (Luxembourg)		Read also the remarks of M. Severijnen (former head of the Environmental Monitoring Department of the Province of Limburg, NL)
Economic Impacts from the Promotion of Renewable Energies: The German Experience		A very clear report from RWI (Rheinisch-Westfälisches Institut für Wirtschafts-forschunng): "CO2 abatement costs from PV (photo-voltaics) are estimated to be as high as 1035 US$ per tonne."
Climate Modelling Nonsense		Outstanding article by Dr. John Reid: "..climate prediction, as it is carried out by those organisations which come under the aegis of the IPCC, is not science. It is a superstition..."
Global Warming and Sea-Level Rise		A short but interesting paper by M. Khandekar. Best gues for 2100 is 23 +/- 5 cm !
On the determination of climate feedbacks from ERBE data		Very important paper by Lindzen & Choi which shows that climate feedbacks are negative, opposite to the findings of 11 GCM's, and that climate sensitivity is low.. Read a very extensive comment by Roy Spencer here and another by Lubos Motl here.
The Global Warming Debate Continues		A debate in 2 parts on AGW by Dr. William Gray and Dr.Kevin Trenberth. I find Dr. Gray's arguments much more convincing!
Stabilizing World CO2 Emissions: A bridge too far?		Paper of the A. Moran institute: "..estimates that deferring cuts until later would for the same quantity of emission reductions reduce costs to ~10% of those entailed by an early start".
EU R&D hostage of eco-religious fundamentalism?		Interview with David Zaruk, associate professor in risk and corporate communications at Vesalius College in Brussels, senior research associate at the Institute for European Studies at the Vrije Universiteit Brussel (VUB)
While the Sun Sleeps		Article by H. Svensmark; english translation from WUWT
The Malaria Myths of Climate Change		By Prof. Paul Reiter from the Pasteur Institute.
Empirical analysis of the solar contribution to global mean air surface temperature change		New paper by N. Scafetta on solar influence on climate (full text: ScienceDirect, paywalled!)
White roofs and pavements		Several reports on the effect of enhancing albedo by painting roofs and pavements white: LBNL short comment, Akbari's presentation and paper.
Geo-engineering, giving us time to act?		A report of the UK Institution of Mechanical Engineers proposing artificial trees as the preferred solution to remove CO2 from ambient air.
Global warming is global energy storage		Very interesting paper by Nordell & Gervet:: could the major part of the last 120 years global warming be explained by heat emissions (and not greenhouse gases)?
Solar cycle linked to Global Climate		Comment on a new NSF study showing the big influence of ENSO
Freeman Dyson on climate change		A new interview with Freeman Dyson in environment360 (Yale University).
When it comes to global warming, talk of treason is in the air		Comment by B. Lomborg (Daily Star, July 2009)
BP statistical review of world energy: ppt, full report here!
Climate change: science manipulated.		By Prof. S. Akasofu.
Limitations on Anthropogenic Global Warming.		Excellent paper by Leonard Weinstein, from Nasa.
Global Warming Causing Carbon Dioxide Increases: A simple model		CO2 increase: 90% from natural, 10% from anthropogenic sources? Read this interesting paper by Roy Spencer
What if global-warming fears are overblown?		Excellent interview of Dr. John Christy in CNNmoney.com.
The House Ways and Means Committee Testimony		of Dr. John Christy (Feb.2009)
Climate Change Reconsidered		Full report of the NICCP March 2009 conference (Singer & Idso)
2009 International Conference on Climate Change		List of presentations and talks given at the 2009 International Conference on Climate Change.
Statement on Global Warming		Statement of the Polish Academy of Sciences
Climate Change: Science Manipulated		by Prof. S. Akasofu (June 2009)
Time to ditch the climate consensus		Interview with Prof. Mike Hulme ( formerly at the Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research)
No we don't need 5 planets		by B. Lomborg (17Apr09).
The Civil Heretic		Read this 8 pages article in the New York Times on Princeton professor Freeman Dyson, a global warming skeptic by excellence.
Sulfur Dioxide Initiates Global Climate Change in Four Ways		Could SO2 explain last centuries warming and cooling periods? Read abstract of paper by Dr. P. Ward.
We can't solve global warming		A discussion of East Anglia University professor Mike Hulme's statements, by Mike Swain, Science and Environment Editor for the Daily Mirror: "We shouldn't be framing climate change as the problem that we have to solve above all others."
Panikmache als Schmiermittel		An interview (in German) with F. Massen in the Luxembourg weekly magazine "Revue", 22 Apr09
Has the climate recently shifted?		Paper by Swanson et al.: "...a break in the global mean temperature trend from the consistent warming over the 1976/77–2001/02 period may have occurred."
Statement on climate change		by Princeton University physics professor W. Happer.
Using the oceans as a calorimeter to quantify the solar radiative forcing		Solar impact on ocean heat 6 times greater than explained by TSI variations alone. Summary of JGR paper by N. Shaviv
Validity of Climate Change forecasting for Public Decision Making		by Green/Armstrong/Soon: "The (no-change) benchmark forecast is that the global mean temperature for each year for the rest of this century will be within 0.5°C of the 2008 figure."
Testimony		of Dr. P. Michaels for the US Committee on Energy and Environment.
Climate future		Essay from K. Beckman: “Climate change has grown into a large bureaucratic, industrial and political machine, on which the livelihood of many thousands of people depends." Also R. Pielke Jr.'s very intelligent comment on "The Collapse of Climate Policy".
Climate alarm: What We Are Up Against, and What to Do		Presentation by R. Lindzen at the ICCC: "..nature is, as any reasonable person might suppose, dominated by stabilizing negative feedbacks rather than destabilizing positive feedbacks"
Fire or Ice? The role of peak fossil fuels in climate change scenarios.		Excellent article in the OIL DRUM by Ugo Bardi. Peak of fossil fuels limits CO2 levels to about 450-550 max. Read also here, here and here. See graph here (Nel paper).
Is Environmentalism a Bigger Threat to Humanity than Global Warming?		Article by V. Klaus in euportal (8 March 2009)
Antartctica is cooling		If Steig had done it correctly, it would have shown up. Paper by Ken Gregory.
Arrêtons de croire les gourous du réchauffement climatique.		Article (in French) by Claude Allègre, prof. of geophysics and former Minister of Education. (hat tip: G.S.)
Statement of W. Happer before the U.S. Senate Environment and Public Works Committee		W. Happer is Cyrus Fogg Brackett Professor of Physics, Princeton University: "I believe that the increase of CO2 is not a cause for alarm."
TESTIMONY of Patrick J. MICHAELS to the Subcommitte on Energy and Environment of the Committe on Energy and Commerce, U.S. House of Representatives.		"..all we know is this: calculations of the costs of inaction, based upon models that are clearly overestimating warming to the point that they can no longer be relied upon, are likely to be similarly overestimated". Very clear demonstration that the IPCC ensemble of 21 climate models does not agree with observed temperature trends. All other testimonies and video here (I recommend the video if you have a couple of hours to spend).
Climate Future		Essay in the European Energy Review by K. Beckman: “Climate change has grown into a large bureaucratic, industrial and political machine, on which the livelihood of many thousands of people depends." Also R. Pielke Jr.'s very intelligent comment on "The Collapse of Climate Policy".
Weather and Climate: Noise and Timescales.		Excellent and crystal clear paper! by Lubos Motl (ex-Harvard physics professor)
CO2 reconstruction from stomatal frequency in fossil needles.		Phd thesis (2004) by L. Kouwenberg, University of Utrecht. Look for graph here! Are ice core CO2 data really ok?
Interannual variations in Earth's reflectance 1999–2007		New important GRL paper by Pallé et al on albedo variations; read abstract and comments here: "...we have demonstrated that the trend toward an increasing terrestrial albedo seen in the earthshine is due to evolving cloud properties" Look here for 19984 to 2007 and here for recent global albedo data.
Contribution of Fish to the Marine Inorganic Carbon Cycle		R.W.Wilson an al. show that fish poop is an important source of carbonate, helping keep down ocean acidification (fish poops may contribute up to 15% of the carbonate production). With possible rising fish populations, this would be a negative feedback (abhorred by the IPCC!) to the consequences of AGW.
Advocacy Threatens Scientific Integrity		Comment by R.E. Levine in the Jan09 edition of the American Physical Society (APS) newsletter. The APS Council should reassert the primacy of the openness principles, which were abandoned in its "climate change" position.

Sea Level Could Rise in South, Fall in North

Suddenly It's Cool Again To Be A Sceptical Philosopher

Accurate estimation of CO2 background level from near ground measurements at non-mixed environments (PDF)

The Global Warming Debate Continues

EU R&D hostage of eco-religious fundamentalism?

Global Warming Causing Carbon Dioxide Increases: A simple model

Fire or Ice? The role of peak fossil fuels in climate change scenarios.

Accurate estimation of CO₂ background level from near ground measurements at non-mixed environments (PDF)