The Global Warming Sceptic  (2015)
http://meteo.lcd.lu/globalwarming/index.html
version 2.2  14 Feb 2009

STATEMENT:
This page does not represent an official position of the Lycée Classique de Diekirch or the Ministry of Education on climate change and global warming. The official position of the Ministry of Environment of Luxembourg can be found here. If you do not want to read the following links and discussions, please go back!

Please take a step back, and stay cool for a moment. Shut your ears off from the deafening cries and shouts of the global warming advocates, and sharpen your mind. Try to answer the questions outlined in the papers given hereafter, and be open for good reasoning: these pages might make you think again, and wonder, if the mobiles of all these climate catastrophers are pure .... 

Working for clean air and an unpolluted atmosphere is a laudable aim, but forgetting to compare the magnitude of man-made pollutants to the natural sources, or having an absolute faith in measurement data of often dubious origin, is unscientific at least, and foolish certainly. The climate  is "the changing state of the atmosphere", so do not expect a steady state situation. Do not forget either that the sun is the engine which drives everything, and that the output of that engine is in constant change!

The newest additions to this link list are on top!    

Huge Reference of papers and articles on climate change and related problems!  Links to web sites, books and videos not embracing the IPCC consensus

                                                                                          

Previous pages: up to 2008 
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Climategate

"Quotes"  Hockey-Stick discussions

last update:29 Aug 2015

The Fantasy World of Climate Alarmism Read Alan Carlin's comment on the CIC (Climate-Industrial-Complex)
Climate sensitivies down trend (link to graph) Read here how new research papers continuously find lower climate sensitivities for a CO2 doubling: do you really think that this science is settled?
Regional climate impacts of a possible future grand solar minimum New interesting paper by Ineson et al. Finally "main-stream" researchers acknowledge what climate realists have said since many years: the solar influence is badly misrepresented in the official IPCC politically correct science! Read also my comment in the BLOG. read also this new paper by Usoskin showing that the Maunder minimum really ...was a grand minimum! Read here the 2013 paper by Abdussamatov "Grand Minimum of the TSI leads to the Little Ice Age". Look at figure 8 !
Global Warming Revisited Watch this speech of Nobelist Ivar Giaever at the Lindau 2015 meeting:
"Global Warming has become a religion....Global Warming is a non problem...Mr. President (Obama), you are dead wrong!...We have to stop wasting huge amount of money on climate change...it's not sustainable"

Here is the Mainau 2015 declaration on climate change, that was signed by only 56% (35 out of 66)of the nobelists!

German Green Power forces neighbors to bolster blackout defenses.
 
Blomberg:"Trading stops have exploded since the fourth quarter, especially on the import side"
The human triumph of fossil fuels.  By Indur Goklany.
The Climate Debate in the USA Presentation by Prof. Judith Curry made at the GWPF: "My concern is that we have over-simplified both the climate change problem and its solutions".
LAUDATO SI Full text (with my highlights) of the encyclical.
Excellent comment by Indur Goklany: The Pontifical Academies' Broken Moral Compass:
"But it is a strange moral calculus that endorses policies that would reduce existing gains in human wellbeing, increase the cost of humanity’s basic necessities, increase poverty, and reduce the terrestrial biosphere’s future productivity and ability to support biomass, all in order to solve future problems that may not even exist ."
Read here a new GWPF report by Bishop Peter Forster and Bernard Donoughue "The Papal Encyclical: A critical Christian response":
"To us the encyclical is coloured too much by a hankering for a past world, prior to the Industrial Revolution, which is assumed to have been generally simpler, cleaner, and happier. There is little historical evidence for such a vision, and for most people then life was brief, painful, poor, and even brutal."
Less than the sum of its parts Very interesting article on how solar drives out wind: increasing the PV power part in a renewable wind & solar mix decreases total available low carbon power!
"Its time to pick some winners, and support for renewable energy at scale should increasingly favour wind over solar. And we should also think about how to decarbonise the remaining eighty percent of the grid that variable renewables can’t touch."

 

Emeritus Prof. William GRAY (Colorado State Univ.) has written a very interesting paper about the wrong water-vapour feedback and missing ocean influence in the global climate models. He shows that the water vapour feedback is small but negative, and that the warming to be expected from a doubling of atmospheric CO2 will be about 0.2 to 0.3 °C !
Negligence, Non-Science, and Consensus Climatology Dr. Pat Frank is one of the rare scientists who critically analyzes the uncertainty ("errors") of climate data and climate models. His paper published in Energy&Environment shows that the uncertainty due to error propagation and bias in climate data and models (especially due to their impossibility to model cloud cover sufficiently precisely) is so large that the small declared and predicted warming is swamped by the statistical uncertainty, and that causal attribution of global warming becomes impossible (link to abstract, full paper is paywalled). Read also here and here and here and here (figure at the left adapted from the paper: the 2*sigma intervals from start and end overlap: the start and end temperatures are not significantly different!)
The Future Role of Coal Extremely clear and well written paper by Dr. Frank Umbach from King's College (University of London): "While Germany’s 2006 decision to phase out hard coal mining and production by 2018 may reduce its national CO2 emissions more drastically by 2020, it has directly led to carbon leakage in Russia...According to most energy experts and international energy organizations, a world without coal-fired plants is unrealistic through 2040"
The unintended consequences of European climate policy Georgia's trees are cut down to make wood pellets for European green heating.
Germany's 2020 greenhouse target not longer feasible "Politically troublesome regulations of coal power plants will merely result in cuts in emissions that are one tenth of what is needed." Read also the EEA report on legal pollution limits exceedance: "Germany was the only country that exceeded 3 of the 4 emission ceilings"!
Emissionshandel braucht Schutz vor Politikern Read this comment in the Frankfurter Allgemeine. Read also this comment from Dirk Maxeimer: "Man kann mit dem sogenannten Klimaschutz alles rechtfertigen, jedes Verbot, jede Steuererhöhung, jede noch so stümperhafte „Energiewende“"
Potential for Worldwide Displacement of Fossil-Fuel Electricity by Nuclear Energy in Three Decades Based on Extrapolation of Regional Deployment Data  Qvist & Brook have published a very interesting paper based on Swedish data. They show that all the fossil-fuel derived electricity could be replaced by emission-free nuclear electricity in 24-24 years! (free access to full paper at PLOS one).

An Open Letter to Pope Francis on Climate Change

 

Open letter to the Pope Francis on Climate Change by >100 scientists published by the Cornvall Alliance for the Stewardship of Creation: "The Poor Would Suffer Most from Attempts to Restrict Affordable Energy Use" ***

Wie Gabriel die Planwirtschaft voranbringt

 

Caustic article in the "Wirtschaftswoche" condemning the German Energiewende: "Bereits jetzt bestimmt eine Republik der Öko-Stromräte festgelegte Planpreise, Solar- und Windgenossen produzieren Willkürmengen, die Bevölkerung zahlt Zwangsabgaben, Angebot und Nachfrage sind außer Kraft...Eine schmarotzende Szene aus Förderantragsexperten, Investoren, Anlagenbauern und Subventionsverteilern treibt das Geschäft munter voran...Diese Energiewende in ihrem Lauf, halten weder Ochs noch Esel auf."
Read also here and watch this video (presentation by Dr. Ziegler, Vernunftkraft e.V.).
Enforcing Eco-Orthodoxy Down Under  Intolerance at UWA (University of Western Australia): read this Spiked-Online comment :" The massive stink over Björn Lomborg... shows that the spirit of McCarthyism lives on."
Manifesto Is "Ecomodernism" a new trend in intelligent green thinking?  "Urbanization, aquaculture, agricultural intensification, nuclear power, and desalination are all processes with a demonstrated potential to reduce human demands on the environment, allowing more room for non-human species."
Climate Control - Brainwashing in Schools A. Montford and J. Shade wrote a very interesting report which was published as the GWPF report #14 . Even if this report analyses the curricula in UK, it makes for an interesting reading: "There can be little doubt that the provision of a rigorous education has now givenway to a highly politicised brainwashing of growing minds with ‘climate change’ and energy scares as motivators and ‘sustainable development’ as the ‘solution’ . Gone are the days when the education system hoped to generate young people equipped to form their own opinions on complex scientific, sociological and political issues."
Interview with Freeman Dyson Watch this interview on climate change and the role of CO2 (interview made in the "Conversation that Matters" series of the Vancouver Sun paper): "Not any of these (climate) models can really ever be predictive... CO2 is so beneficial in many ways, it would be crazy to try to reduce it".
Biography of this outstanding scientist here.
Predictions made for the first Earth Day in 1970 Now that Earth Day 2015 is over, here are the predictions made for the first Earth Day in 1970, and don't fall over from laughing. The morale: do never believe in predictions!
Tree-Ring Amplification of the Early-19th Century Summer Cooling in Central Europe A new inconvenient paper, by U. Büntgen et al. Abstract (full paper in the AMS Journal is pay-walled): "All records independently reveal coolest conditions in the 1810’s and warmest after 1996, but the ring width-based reconstruction overestimates the intensity and duration of the early-19th century summer cooling by ~1.5 °C at decadal scales"
Fast breeders Future nuclear energy developments may be based on fast reactors (fast breeders) which are excellent in fuel economy and can deliver very short lived waste, compared to the classic U235 reactors. I stood on the EBR-I, the first experimental sodium cooled fast reactor, which is now a museum in INL (Idaho National Laboratory). It's follower EBR-II worked flawlessly for 30 years. Read here an historic comment by  Dr. John Sackett, who also worked on the IFR (Integral Fast Reactor). India and China are busy testing different reactor designs, as both countries acknowledge that nuclear power will probably be the only emission-free solution that is non-intermittent, sustainable in soil occupation and easily scalable. Look here for a table of all on-going nuclear constructions worldwide.
Climate change availability cascade :Read this comment by Prof. Judith Curry: "An availability cascade is a self-reinforcing process of collective belief formation that triggers a self-perpetuating chain reaction: the more attention a danger gets, the more worried people become, leading to more news coverage and greater alarm.... Is climate change making us stupid? I fear that the answer is ‘yes.’"
Hydrogen fuel-cell cars An easy to read article on fuel cells, which might well crush the pure electric vehicles.
Windiges Geld The German NDR TV aired an emission on wind parks in northern Germany. This calm, non aggressive reporting tells us that investors in wind parks are promised an ROI of 9.86%. This extraordinary number is possible through the (over?) generous German EEG, and shows why German sky-rocketing electricity prices are now close to 30 Cent/KWh (h.t. denis). Here a small report on the German PV and Wind electricity contribution to the national production from 2011 until today, and here the live production data. And here an interesting report by Agora on negative electricity prices (wind turbines will be put on hold when price < -65 €/MWh).
 Fossil fuels will save the world (really) Matt Ridley in WSJ: "Wind power, for all the public money spent on its expansion has inched up ... to 1% of world energy consumption in 2013. Solar for all the hype has not even managed that....The one thing that will not work is the one thing that the environmental movement insists upon: subsidizing wealthy crony capitalists to build low-density, low-output, capital-intensive, land-hungry energy schemes..."
Climat, pourquoi le GIEC doit être démantelé Comment (in French) by Godefridi in the Express: "... les normes « suggérées » sont parfaitement cohérentes et même qu’elles s’inscrivent toute entière dans une seule et même idéologie : la décroissance, qui est le versant le plus extrême de l’idéologie écologiste." (h.t. L.M.)
The political assault on climate sceptics.   Read Prof. Richard Lindzen's comment in the Washington Post:"Billions of dollars have been poured into studies supporting climate alarm... So it is unsurprising that great efforts have been made to ramp up hysteria, even as the case for climate alarm is disintegrating".
On natural climate variability and climate models. Read Dr Roy Spencer's ***excellent***comment: ": "Models that ignore natural sources of warming must be tuned to be too sensitive, in order to explain the observed 1970s-1990s warming with increasing CO2 alone (or nearly alone). They then produce too much warming in future decades"
Chart of the global temperatures from 2500 BC to 2040 Look at this chart of the global temperatures from 2500 BC to 2040 (extrapolated).
Does this chart really enforce the conclusion that atmospheric CO2 and human CO2 emissions drive global temperature?(link)Read also this comment (in German) by Prof. Lüdecke.
Climate Change as a Political Process An exceptionnel clear PhD thesis by former Finnish member of EU parliament E-J. Korhola . Read at least the Afterword starting at page 291: "The relationship between science and politics has been problematic in climate science.... Climate change became the next grand narrative after the Cold War...it bypassed many concrete and severe problems and a record amount of attention and resources were sacrificed to it."  Read also the comment of Roger Pielke Jr.
Hubert Lamb and the transformation of climate science. Excellent new paper by Bernie Lewin on the great climatologist Hubert Lamb, founder of the CRU, and an outspoken tenant of natural climate cycles and variations who wrote: " ...a tremendous effort was made to land research funds in all countries...on the basis of frightening people about the possible drastic effect of Man's activities, and so much has been said about climate warming that there will be an awkward situation if the warming doesn't happen or not to the extent predicted."
Cold water on CSS (Carbon Storage and Sequestration) A MIT study finds that only a much smaller part of the injected CO2 is mineralized, and that more than previously thought remains in liquid or gaseous form, and as such may possibly find its way back to the open.
Klima macht Geschichte A mostly excellent series as been aired by German national television ZDF in two parts (Part 1, Part II). It insists on the importance of warm climate periods for human development, and that climate changes are a fact of Nature (mostly the Sun and volcanoes): "Die Sonne ist der Hauptakteur". Read more comments  in my blog or here.
Expensive energy kills people Dr. Roy Spencer: "UNICEF estimates 22,000 children die each day due to poverty. In contrast, no one is known to have ever died due to human-induced climate change. I predict that modest warming (whatever its cause) and more CO2 will turn out to be better for life on Earth."
Faux polar bear figures Read Prof. Susan Crockford's comment in FP.
Diskussion um Klimaschutz lächerlich How inconvenient: veteran meteorologist Klaus Hager says " Ich prüfe gerne Fakten und will zum Nachdenken anregen, nicht alles ungefiltert zu schlucken, nur weil es dem Zeitgeist entspricht." Read Hager's paper on the advantages and disadvantages of measuring automatization. The switch from mercury glass thermometers to modern Pt100 sensors and different methods of calculation could have caused a virtual warming of + 0.9°C !
Fantasies about global warming  Read this comment by Lawrence Solomon in the Financial Post: "Today’s youth, having been force-fed an unrelenting diet of hype and fear, will have trouble stomaching more".
Ethics and Climate Change Policy A very important new report by Peter Lee with an excellent foreword by Dr. Peter Forster, bishop of Chester (and a chemist).
Expensive energy kills people Dr. Roy Spencer: "UNICEF estimates 22,000 children die each day due to poverty. In contrast, no one is known to have ever died due to human-induced climate change. I predict that modest warming (whatever its cause) and more CO2 will turn out to be better for life on Earth."
Faux polar bear figures Read Prof. Susan Crockford's comment in FP .
Diskussion um Klimaschutz lächerlich Read veteran meteorologist Klaus Hager :" Ich prüfe gerne Fakten und will zum Nachdenken anregen, nicht alles ungefiltert zu schlucken, nur weil es dem Zeitgeist entspricht." Read Hager's paper on the advantages and disadvantages of measuring automatization. The switch from mercury glass thermometers to modern Pt100 sensors and different methods of calculation could have caused a virtual warming of + 0.9°C !
Fantasies about global warming  Read this comment by Lawrence Solomon in the Financial Post: "Today’s youth, having been force-fed an unrelenting diet of hype and fear, will have trouble stomaching more".
Ethics and Climate Change Policy A very important new report by Peter Lee with an excellent foreword by Dr. Peter Forster, bishop of Chester (and a chemist).
Greenland ice decrease seems to halt Will it start to increase in 2015? Read here, here and here.
Ethics and Climate Change Policy A very important new report by Peter Lee with an excellent foreword by Dr. Peter Forster, bishop of Chester (and a chemist).

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