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Local
trends
1998 to 2020
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BLOG
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Location of meteoLCD |
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COVID-19 Luxembourg |
All the
relevant data and graphs are on a
special web page.
This chapter is
closed, no updates anymore! |
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...warns that latest IPCC climate
models run
implausibly hot (what climate realists are
saying since many years!): even alarmist Gavin
Schmidt says that " ...you end up with numbers
that are insanely scary -- and wrong"
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The Peril of Politicizing Science
A marvellous, really must-read
essay by Anna Krylov (Uni. Southern California, LA)
published in the Journal of Physical
Chemistry (10 June 2021)
Teachers: let your students read
this!
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New important
paper by Millstein et al. on the decline of wind
and solar electricity value with increasing
penetration. This is a 28 pages paper, well
worth to read twice!
Above
20% of wind/solar penetration, the produced
electriccity value falls by 30 to 40%.
See
BLOG !
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Climate change uncertainty in 5 minutes !
An excellent exposé by Prof. Judith Curry.
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Planning for big battery storage systems for your
intermittent solar and wind electricity? Beware
of the huge fire risk, and read this June 2021 paper by 3
British university physics professors: "Safety
of Grid Scale Lithium-ion Battery Energy Storage
Systems". They write "the explosion
potential and lack of engineering standards to
prevent thermal runaway may put control of battery
fires beyond control, experience and capabilities of
local Fire and Rescue Services"
Another older comment
here. |
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The oceans absorb much more CO2 than assumed!
Read this paper (Sep.2020, Nature Communications) by
Watson et al. titled "Revised
estimate of ocean-atmosphere CO2 flux..."
with the conclusion that "...most ocean models
underestimate uptake... Some revision of the
global carbon budget is required".
Supplementary information
here.
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TerraPower ( a Bill Gates company)
and GE Hitachi Nuclear Energy will build a fast
neutron reactor called "NATRIUM"
(as it is cooled by liquid sodium): this is a rather
small 345 MWe breeder, with a huge molten salt
thermal storage which can boost power up to 500
MWe. The reactor will be built in Wyoming, probably
on the site of a former coal power station.
It's interesting that a Republican state is
absolutely in-line with Democrat President Biden,
concerning USA's energy future. What a difference
with "old Europe"! |
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Read this latest
report by Prof. Ole Humlum; this is a
report based on observations, not models! Just
one sentence of this outstanding report:
"Since 1979, lower troposphere
temperatures have increased over both land and
oceans, but most clearly over land areas. The most
straightforward explanation for this phenomenon is
that much of the warming is caused by solar
insolation, but there may well be several
supplementary reasons, such as changes in cloud
cover and land use."
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As a longtime asthma sufferer I
appreciate clean air; our PM Airvisual measurements
contribute a bit to give us real data. But
environmental questions very often have an agenda,
greatly helped by poor or fraudulent statistics.
Read this paper on how bad the situation is in
relating heart attacks to PM 2.5 concentration. Full
paper
here, easier to read discussion by the authors
here. |
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Climate
Policy - When Emotion Meets Reality
Watch this very sober, clear and
non emotional presentation by Prof. Ross Mc Kitrick
(Guelph University), 12 May 2021.
43 minutes well spent!
"...emissions mix globally... so unilateral action
is useless...policies that were too small to have an
effect turned out to be too costly to
implement...increasing the scale of policies pushes
the costs up faster than the benefits..."
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New large 30 pages
report by Marcel Crok from CLINTEL.
Conclusion:
"In any case, the message of this essay was that we
are in no hurry and that panic is unwarranted.
Climate change always deserves our attention, but
the idea that we need to turn our energy supply
upside down right now seems mainly an emotional
decision." |
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Read this extraordinary clear and lucid comment of
Prof. Judith Curry:
"This redefinition of ‘climate change’ to refer only
to manmade climate change has effectively eliminated
natural climate change from the public discussion on
climate change....Climate change has thus become a
grand narrative in which human-caused climate change
has become a dominant cause of societal
problems...This grand narrative misleads us to think
that if we solve the problem of manmade climate
change, then these other problems would also be
solved"
Read also this
comment by Andrew Roman.
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Mathias SCHMIDT and Marc LINDER have written an
intersecting paper in Frontiers in Energy Research (link)
how to use excess PV electricity in summer to get
heat storage for the house during the winter.
They use the exothermic reaction of calcium oxide
--> calcium hydroxide, and find that an overall
storage efficiency of nearly 96% would be possible,
with a manageable volume of this low-cost material.
The 12 pages paper is relatively easy to read!
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Climate Emergency... not so fast!
Excellent, very clear and sober
article by two world-renowned physicists : Richard
Lindzen, MIT, and William Happer, Princeton.
A French translation is
here.
Read also this article of Dr. Roy
Spencer:
An Earth Day Reminder: "Global Warming" is Only ~50%
of What Models Predict.
Excerpt: "Yes, more CO2
must produce some warming. But the amount of warming
makes all the difference to global energy policies.
Seldom is the public ever informed of these glaring
discrepancies between basic science and what
politicians and pop-scientists tell us."
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Saving the Planet...
Watch
George
Carlin's humorous presentation, and bring a
few laugh's into these depressing times! (YouTube, 8
minutes)
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Full text of the report "An Assessment of the
Sustainability of Nuclear Power for the EU Taxonomy
Consultation 2019"
"The state of public and political discussion
around nuclear energy rarely reflects the factual
state of things. Emotions like fear take hold, even
though from a statistical and scientific point of
view, there is less to fear from nuclear energy than
from practically any other energy source..."
Read also the
BLOG |
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What we need to know about the pace of
decarbonization.
Read this excellent policy brief by
Prof. Vaclav Smil (Uni. of Manitoba) and reflect on
this sentence, that says it all:
"Designing hypothetical roadmaps outlining complete
elimination of fossil carbon from the global energy
supply by 2050 is nothing but an exercise in wishful
thinking that ignores fundamental physical
realities." |
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Read the new
UNSCEAR report on the health consequences of the
Fukushima accident:
"increased body of evidence that the observed
thyroid cancers are not attributable to radiation
exposure... no health effects in emergency and
recovery workers... average doses of evacuees less
than 6mSv" (the average dose in Luxembourg is about
3 to 5 mSv, without any medical usage as
X-Rays, thyroid or heart screening...)
Comments
here. |
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Discussion of a new paper by Rode&Fischbeck
(Carnegie Mellon) titled
"The risk of communicating extreme climate
forecasts".
"...When it comes to climate change, the authors
advise "thinking small." That is, focusing on making
predictions that are less grandiose and shorter in
term."
(the full text of the paper is pay-walled)
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"Die Energiewende ist gescheitert".
Read this caustic article (in
German) by Dr. Björn Peters (a physicist) at the
Umwelt-Watchblog. "Die
Energiewende ist also an ihren eigenen Zielsetzungen
und ihrer eigenen Metrik gescheitert, nicht auf
Basis der Verleumdungen ihrer Gegner".
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About 800 scientists have written a
letter to Biden, von der Leyen and al., asking
them to stop using forests as biomass (wrongly
considered carbon neutral in the EU). Among the
signaturies is Jean-Pascal van Ipersele from Uni.
Louvain, , former IPCC vice-president!
" ... governments must
end subsidies and other incentives that
today exist
for the burning of wood whether from their forests
or others.
TheEuropean
Union needs to
stop treating the burning of biomass as carbon
neutral".
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Read this
optimistic report from Indur Goklany
(Assistant Director, US. Dept. of Interior) which
shows the abyss separating reality and perception
(using only public available data).
In these times of gloom and doom, finally a report
which should enhance our confidence for a better
future!
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What to do
for going to
net zero in 2050, if
actual fuel consumption would not increase and would
be replaced by "renewables" in 2050
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Build
two 2.1 GW nuclear stations every week up to 2050
or
Build
1000 Wind Turbines every day and one 2.1
GW nuclear station every week up to 2050
or
Build
500km2 area of solar panels
and one 2.1 GW nuclear station every week up
to 2050
(free
adapted from
here, very conservative numbers) |
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Clintel has a new Press Release titled "adaptation
much more profitable than mitigation".
They write that "one dollar
invested in adaptation yields about 4 dollar in
benefits" whereas (according to B. Lomborg) "one
dollar spent for mitigation leads only to 11 cent
benefit".
Especially telling is the graph
(click for full scale) which shows that the deaths
from climate related catastrophic events decreased
spectacularly since 1920, whereas the non-climate
catastrophe death toll remains more or less
constant. |
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Nicola Scafetta (Uni. Naples) published a very
interesting open-access paper on the contamination
of land-temperature measurements by the UHI (Urban
Heat Island) effect (Springer, Climate Dynamics).
Click
here for the full paper. He concludes
that the ubiquitous CMIP5 climate models may
overestimate global warming since 1940 by up to 40%
!
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Very interesting new paper by
Roger Pielke Jr. (University of Colorado)and
Justin Ritchie (University of British Columbia):
"... much of the climate research community is
presently off-track from scientific coherence and
policy-relevance. Attempts to address scenario
misuse within the community have thus far not
worked. The result has been the widespread
production of myopic or misleading perspectives on
future climate change and climate policy"
"..the hegemony of the IPCC has become a source
of myopia, rather than enlightment"
Attention: the paper is paywalled! |
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One of the best long-time
temperature series is the Central England
Temperature series, called CET. It goes back to
about 1650 (read more on it's history
here).
This series does not show any dangerous or
disturbing warming at all!
The little warming (1.2°C) begins with the end of
the Little Ice Age (LIA) after the 1850's. You may
remember that the LIA was a general colder period!
Read more
here! |
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For the last day of annus horribilis
2020 let's look at a heartwarming picture showing
that Luxembourg's global share of annual CO2eq
emissions dropped by more than 80% since 1950.
Don't be a grinch, take this with a big smile into
the year 2021, which we all wish to be a better one!
PS: read
here 10 predictions of climate-doom that
went wrong! |
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Multi-part comment in the BLOG on the problem of air
quality and the different and often confusing
multitude of defining the air quality index.
Read here parts
1,
2,
3,
4 and the
last part 5.
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Excellent and very short
video
from Prager online University with Prof. Richard
Lindzen from MIT who tells the essentials in crystal
clear words .
An absolute ***must
view***!
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1.
A look at the Shape of Temperature Change over Time.
Interesting blog comment at WUWT by Mark Fife concluding "In every 10-year average, 99.7% of the
stations fall within 2.25° and -1.75° of their 1920 – 2011
average".
10. A real cool 12 minute video by Dr. David Evans "Climate
change in 12 minutes". Peek also into this animated
video by Dr. Roy Spencer.
Bill Gates, who said poor countries
“desperately need cheap sources of energy now to fuel
economic growth that lifts families out of poverty. They
can’t afford today’s expensive clean energy solutions
and we can’t expect them to wait for the technology to
get cheaper.” - See more at:
http://www.thegwpf.com/new-climate-change-battlefront-pits-tony-abbott-against-the-anti-coal-brigade/#sthash.J5szcsdQ.dpuf
Bill Gates, who said poor countries
“desperately need cheap sources of energy now to fuel
economic growth that lifts families out of poverty. They
can’t afford today’s expensive clean energy solutions
and we can’t expect them to wait for the technology to
get cheaper.” - See more at:
http://www.thegwpf.com/new-climate-change-battlefront-pits-tony-abbott-against-the-anti-coal-brigade/#sthash.J5szcsdQ.dpuf
Free
iPhone
applet
meteoLCD
(by former LCD student
Benoìt Frisch, also
available for Android devices))
96.
James Lovelock: "They all talk, they pass laws, they
do things, as if they knew what was happening. I don’t think
anybody really knows what’s happening. They just guess. And
a whole group of them meet together and encourage each
other’s guesses." (link)
97.
Words
of the great physicist Freeman Dyson:
"Unfortunately the global
warming hysteria, as I see it, is driven by politics
more than by science. If it happens that I am wrong and
the climate experts are right, it is still true that the
remedies are far worse than the disease that they claim
to cure."
98. Words by
the great French philosopher Pascal Bruckner:
"All the foolishness of
Bolshevism, Maoism, and Trotskyism are somehow
reformulated exponentially in the name of saving the
planet." (comments
here
and
here)
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99. R. Lindzen: "Future generations will wonder in
bemused amazement that the early 21st century's
developed world went into hysterical panic over a
globally averaged temperature increase of a few tenths
of a degree and, on the basis of gross exaggerations of
highly uncertain computer projections combined into
implausible chains of inference, proceeded to
contemplate a roll-back of the industrial age"
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"Le
doute est le commen-cement de la science ; qui
ne doute de rien n'examine rien ; qui n'examine
rien ne découvre rien ; qui ne découvre rien est
aveugle et demeure aveugle".
Jean Chardin, 1686.
Journal du voyage du chevalier
Chardin en Perse.
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Some say the world will end in
fire,
Some say in ice.
From what I've tasted of desire
I hold with those who favor fire.
But if it had to perish twice,
I think I know enough of hate
To say that for destruction ice
Is also great
And would suffice.
Fire and Ice, R. Frost, 1920
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"The greatest challenge facing
mankind is the challenge of distinguishing
reality from fantasy, truth from propaganda."
Michael Crichton + 4Nov08
(best speeches
here
and
here)
 Josh cartoons
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| "Und denn, man muß
das Wahre immer wiederholen, weil auch der
Irrtum um uns her immer wieder gepredigt wird,
und zwar nicht von einzelnen, sondern von der
Masse. In Zeitungen und Enzyklopädien, auf
Schulen und Universitäten, überall ist der
Irrtum oben auf, und es ist ihm wohl und
behaglich, im Gefühl der Majorität, die auf
seiner Seite ist". Johann Wolfgang von
Goethe, 1828. |
A complete
list
(with links!) of all things caused by global
warming! (video)
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Réseau
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