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1998 to 2021
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This chapter is
closed, no updates anymore! |
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METALS for Clean Energy
Excellent report of KU Leuwen and
Eurometaux on what will be needed in 2050 to reach
Net Zero.
The necessary percentage
increases are mind boggling!
Read
here!
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Watch this presentation by Tom Gallagher "Lessons
from Paleoclimatology...": a sober and easy to
follow voyage into the past 66 millions of Earth's
climate.
Some conclusions: "...in the Holocene
there is nothing unusual about our current rate of
warming...embrace the warmer, humid, CO2 fertilized
times now..Prepare for more glaciation ahead!"
Read here a discussion in easy words
from
SEPP (original
here) |
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The
History of the LNT (Linear No Treshhold)
theory of radioactive risk: watch this series of
videos of the HPS debunking this almost 70 years old
theory, which gathered momentum by fear, but also
dishonesty and unscientific behavior. Dr. Calabrese
is critical of LNT and says that
hormesis is real for low dosis of radiation.
A report on the same subject (Reassessing
Radiation Safety) is
here.
Look also at
www.radiationanswers.org for Q&A. |
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Prof. Ole HUMLUM
latest analysis of the state of climate in 2021
is published. He looks not at what climate models
predict, but what the observations tell us. He
writes "...“A
year ago, I warned that there was great risk in
using computer modelling and immature science to
make extraordinary claims. The empirical
observations I have reviewed show very gentle
warming and no evidence
of a climate crisis.”
This 54 page report should be mandatory reading for
everyone looking for a genuine and not biased
discussion on what we know of the state of the
global climate, of the changes of global
temperatures, sea-level, ice-cover, hurricanes and
other climate related phenomena.
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Prof. Judith Curry (former Georgia
Tech) has a very interesting article published in
the March 2022 edition of "International
Affairs Forum" Most contributors write in the
usual alarmist or Zeitgeist manner, but Prof. Curry
has "A
Plan B for adressing climate change and the energy
transition" (link to a version with
highlights by me; original version in her blog
here): "...The
dangers of manmade climate change have been
confounded with natural weather and climate
variability...The planet has been warming for more
than a century. So far, the world has done a decent
job at adapting to this change. The yields for many
crops have doubled or even quadruped since 1960...To
make progress on this, we need to disabuse ourselves
of the hubris that we can control the Earth’s
climate and prevent extreme weather events..." |
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Prof. Guus Berkhout (emeritus, Uni Delft) writes
that "Experienced
Engineers must take the lead in the Energy
Transition" He stresses the importance of
political decisions based on measurement data and
not on theoretical models. Concerning climate action
he asks:
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Is CO2 really
the big culprit?
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Does massive wood burning really
contribute to less global warming?
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Why does the output of ‘settled’
climate models not match real observations?
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Why do universities still go
ahead with supporting green energy policies,
while these policies will lead to severe
poverty? Why did universities not make a plea
for nuclear technology? Why was such a debate
forbidden at COP26*?
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Ruhnau and Qvist have published an
interesting paper on the electrical storage
requirements for Germany, assuming 100%
renewable electricity production (no gas, no
nuclear, state 2030). They find in their 35-years
analysis that one should account for 12 weeks of
energy scarcity in a year, and propose mostly
hydrogen as a storage medium, with batteries playing
a very small role; they ignore all the technical
problems related to hydrogen storage, and probably
under-estimate its cost. Including storage related
losses, they find that during the 35 years there
is one period where almost 3 month of storage would
have been needed!
What makes one think again, is that they suggest
vastly overbuilding wind and solar, and curtailing
the excess power when needed. There is no reflection
on the extra material consumption for this
excess capacity (which for instance needs 10 times
more offshore wind than today!)
Read a critique of the R&Q paper
here, and another discusssion
here. |
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Blaming humans... largely a matter of faith!
Read this comment by Dr. Roy Spencer
(UAH)... uncertainty about balance of
outgoing/incoming radiation about 5-10 W/m2, to
compare to presumed radiation forcing of human CO2
emissions of 1 W/m2.
"...most recent warming could be
mostly natural.. and we would never know it" |
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R.C. Dickson has written a very interesting 3
part essay "What every journalist and politician
should know":
Part 1:
The Scientific Process
Part 2:
Numbers in Science
Part 3:
Pathological Science
Read this, it is time well spent! |
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A very clear
comment by Ian Aitken on the "97% consensus"
saga that climate change is "predominantly" caused
by human activity :
"Whilst
there is almost total scientific consensus that
climate change is ‘real’ and happening and that
there has been some human-caused
influence, there is no such scientific consensus
over the extent of the human-caused influence and
whether or not it could reasonably be described as
‘dangerous’, let alone a ‘crisis’."
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Is the
World ready for Good News on Climate? asks Roger
Pielke (Uni. Boulder, Co.) in his discussion on his
latest research, showing how many IPCC scenarios are
possible and how many of its climate models get it
wrong:
"...we
have identified 71 of your 1,311 scenarios that
reman plausible based only on what actually happened
2005 to 2020 and that number is cut in half, to 35,
when we also consider the 2020 IEA projections to
2050."
Link to paper
here.
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There is a new paper by Goode et al.
published in Geophysical Research Letters on the
Earthshine project, that since the late 1990's
measures the Earth's albedo by the light reflected
from the dark lunar portion:
Earth's Albedo 1998-2017 as Measured from Earthshine.
The declining albedo is responsible for a radiative
forcing of about 0.5 W/m2 during these 2 decades,
similar to the 0.6 W/m2 attributed to increasing
anthropogenic GHG emissions! |
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TRANSMUTEX is a new Swiss startup company
that wants to solve the problem with existing
nuclear waste with its TMX-Start reactor, and
takes up an decade old idea of Prof. Carlo Rubbio:
using a proton accelerator to produce an intense
neutron beam that will convert Thorium and used
nuclear waste into fissible U233, with only an
absolute minimum of radioactive waste left. Read
here!
Seeing how nuclear energy has many new starts is
gratifying, and puts the silliness of countries
allergic to nuclear power into perspective!
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Multi-part comment in the BLOG on the problem of air
quality and the different and often confusing
multitude of defining the air quality index.
Read here parts
1,
2,
3,
4 and the
last part 5.
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Excellent and very short
video
from Prager online University with Prof. Richard
Lindzen from MIT who tells the essentials in crystal
clear words .
An absolute ***must
view***!
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1.
A look at the Shape of Temperature Change over Time.
Interesting blog comment at WUWT by Mark Fife concluding "In every 10-year average, 99.7% of the
stations fall within 2.25° and -1.75° of their 1920 – 2011
average".
10. A real cool 12 minute video by Dr. David Evans "Climate
change in 12 minutes". Peek also into this animated
video by Dr. Roy Spencer.
Bill Gates, who said poor countries
“desperately need cheap sources of energy now to fuel
economic growth that lifts families out of poverty. They
can’t afford today’s expensive clean energy solutions
and we can’t expect them to wait for the technology to
get cheaper.” - See more at:
http://www.thegwpf.com/new-climate-change-battlefront-pits-tony-abbott-against-the-anti-coal-brigade/#sthash.J5szcsdQ.dpuf
Bill Gates, who said poor countries
“desperately need cheap sources of energy now to fuel
economic growth that lifts families out of poverty. They
can’t afford today’s expensive clean energy solutions
and we can’t expect them to wait for the technology to
get cheaper.” - See more at:
http://www.thegwpf.com/new-climate-change-battlefront-pits-tony-abbott-against-the-anti-coal-brigade/#sthash.J5szcsdQ.dpuf
Free
iPhone
applet
meteoLCD
(by former LCD student
Benoìt Frisch, also
available for Android devices))
96.
James Lovelock: "They all talk, they pass laws, they
do things, as if they knew what was happening. I don’t think
anybody really knows what’s happening. They just guess. And
a whole group of them meet together and encourage each
other’s guesses." (link)
97.
Words
of the great physicist Freeman Dyson:
"Unfortunately the global
warming hysteria, as I see it, is driven by politics
more than by science. If it happens that I am wrong and
the climate experts are right, it is still true that the
remedies are far worse than the disease that they claim
to cure."
98. Words by
the great French philosopher Pascal Bruckner:
"All the foolishness of
Bolshevism, Maoism, and Trotskyism are somehow
reformulated exponentially in the name of saving the
planet." (comments
here
and
here)
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99. R. Lindzen: "Future generations will wonder in
bemused amazement that the early 21st century's
developed world went into hysterical panic over a
globally averaged temperature increase of a few tenths
of a degree and, on the basis of gross exaggerations of
highly uncertain computer projections combined into
implausible chains of inference, proceeded to
contemplate a roll-back of the industrial age"
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"Le
doute est le commen-cement de la science ; qui
ne doute de rien n'examine rien ; qui n'examine
rien ne découvre rien ; qui ne découvre rien est
aveugle et demeure aveugle".
Jean Chardin, 1686.
Journal du voyage du chevalier
Chardin en Perse.
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Some say the world will end in
fire,
Some say in ice.
From what I've tasted of desire
I hold with those who favor fire.
But if it had to perish twice,
I think I know enough of hate
To say that for destruction ice
Is also great
And would suffice.
Fire and Ice, R. Frost, 1920
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"The greatest challenge facing
mankind is the challenge of distinguishing
reality from fantasy, truth from propaganda."
Michael Crichton + 4Nov08
(best speeches
here
and
here)
 Josh cartoons
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| "Und denn, man muß
das Wahre immer wiederholen, weil auch der
Irrtum um uns her immer wieder gepredigt wird,
und zwar nicht von einzelnen, sondern von der
Masse. In Zeitungen und Enzyklopädien, auf
Schulen und Universitäten, überall ist der
Irrtum oben auf, und es ist ihm wohl und
behaglich, im Gefühl der Majorität, die auf
seiner Seite ist". Johann Wolfgang von
Goethe, 1828. |
A complete
list
(with links!) of all things caused by global
warming! (video)
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Réseau
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